Glossary
Trailing price to earnings
M3.06Also called trailing P/E, TTM P/E, historic PE.
Share price divided by earnings actually reported over the last twelve months.
Its virtue is that the denominator is a fact rather than a forecast, which makes it the honest starting point.
Its weakness is timing. For a cyclical business the trailing multiple is at its lowest exactly when earnings are at a peak and the stock is most dangerous, and at its highest when earnings are trough and the opportunity is best. Reading a steel company on trailing earnings has ended more portfolios than any other single mistake in relative valuation.
For cyclicals, use mid-cycle earnings or a different lens entirely.