The Analyst's Path

Glossary

Trailing price to earnings

M3.06

Also called trailing P/E, TTM P/E, historic PE.

Share price divided by earnings actually reported over the last twelve months.

Its virtue is that the denominator is a fact rather than a forecast, which makes it the honest starting point.

Its weakness is timing. For a cyclical business the trailing multiple is at its lowest exactly when earnings are at a peak and the stock is most dangerous, and at its highest when earnings are trough and the opportunity is best. Reading a steel company on trailing earnings has ended more portfolios than any other single mistake in relative valuation.

For cyclicals, use mid-cycle earnings or a different lens entirely.