The Analyst's Path

Gross return vs net return

Gross return is the headline return before any fees. Net return is what is left after the fund's fees, and tax and inflation then take it lower again, giving the taxed and real returns. The gap can be large: a synthetic fund's 12.40% gross return leaves an Indian investor with 3.74% after all three deductions, so 69.84% of the headline never reaches the investor.

2 min readPart of Returns, Statistical Measures and the Discipline of InferenceOpen in course mode

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A headline return is the first of six numbers and the least interesting. Take a synthetic fund with a 12.40% gross return and follow it down.

How do you get from gross return to real return?

Fees come first. An Indian regular-plan total expense ratio of 1.85% leaves 1.1240 × 0.9815 − 1 = 10.3206%, a drag of 2.0794 points, which is 0.2294 points more than the headline fee because the fee is levied on a base that grew during the year. A US fund at a 0.58% expense ratio keeps 11.74808%. Over ten years the same 1.85% turns a 221.86% cumulative gross into a 167.03% cumulative net, a gap of 54.82 points of cumulative return that exists only in the gross column.

Tax comes second and is jurisdictional. At a 12.5% long-term rate on listed equity gains, the Indian investor's 10.3206% becomes 9.030525% (confirm the rate and the exemption threshold against the Finance Act in force; checked September 2026). A US investor at 15% long-term capital gains plus the 3.8% net investment income tax keeps 9.539441% (confirm against current federal rates; checked September 2026).

Inflation comes third, and the correct arithmetic is a ratio rather than a subtraction:

real = (1 + nominal) / (1 + inflation) − 1

At 5.1% Indian inflation the 9.030525% post-tax return is worth 3.739795% in purchasing power. Subtracting instead gives 3.930525%, an error of 19.07 basis points that grows with both rates. At 2.6% US inflation the post-tax 9.539441% becomes 6.763588%. Both inflation figures are perishable: verify each against its own current CPI print before quoting either.

Stack all three and a 12.40% headline becomes 3.739795% of real, post-tax, post-fee return. 69.84% of the headline never reaches the investor. That single fraction is worth more to a client conversation than any amount of alpha discussion.

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What does leverage do to a return?

Leverage runs the other way and amplifies both tails. Finance 40% of an asset base at 9.50% while the assets return 12.40%, and the equity earns (12.40 − 0.40 × 9.50)/0.60 = 14.333333%, a gain of 1.93 points. Run the same structure through a year when the assets return −8.00% and the equity returns −19.666667%, a loss 11.67 points worse than the unlevered one. The borrowing cost is fixed and the asset return is not, which is where the asymmetry comes from.

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Part of the course

This page is part of Returns, Statistical Measures and the Discipline of Inference (QM1.04), in Phase 12: Finance Plus, AI and the quant-code track. The module's flashcards and its quiz are in the app.