The Analyst's Path

Retained earnings roll forward

A retained earnings roll forward moves last year's closing retained earnings to the new closing balance by adding net income and taking off dividends and buybacks. Net income isn't made of cash, so only the dividend and buyback decisions move cash. The same schedule tracks shares outstanding, so a buyback cuts the share count and earnings per share can be worked out on it.

3 min readPart of Modeling I: The 3-Statement ModelOpen in course mode

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The equity corkscrew closes the loop your paper linkage called tie #1. Net income isn't "made of cash". It goes into retained earnings, and only the dividend and buyback decisions move cash. Build it in M rows 101 to 110, with the header in 101:

M rowLineFormula in F (fill right)Note
102Retained earnings, opening=E40Daisy chain via the BS, as in the PP&E schedule
103Net income=F21From the IS
104Dividends=MAX(F103,0)*A!F61Payout % of NI, floored so no dividends come out of losses
105Buybacks=A!F50The ACTIVE buyback row: a decision, not a ratio
106Retained earnings, closing=F102+F103-F104-F105
107Shares outstanding, opening (cr)=E109E109 is typed history: 25.0
108Shares bought back (cr)=IF(A!F62>0,F105/A!F62,0)₹ cr ÷ ₹/share = crore shares
109Shares outstanding, closing (cr)=F107-F108Type 25.0 in C109:E109 first
110EPS (₹), memo=F21/F109₹ cr ÷ cr shares = ₹/share; fill C:J (=C21/C109)

Link the BS: F40 =F106, filled right. Share capital in row 39 stays flat at ₹50 cr, which is 25 crore shares × ₹2 face value.

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What does the schedule simplify about buybacks and dividends?

Name three simplifications out loud, because a good modeler documents the difference between the model and the law. (1) In India, an actual buyback extinguishes the shares and technically reduces share capital by face value. It routes the premium against reserves (securities premium first) and requires a capital-redemption reserve transfer under sections 68-69 of the Companies Act. Economically it all comes to "equity down by the buyback amount," which is what row 105-into-106 books. Say so in the README instead of pretending the one-line version is the statute. (2) In the US, repurchased shares usually persist as treasury stock, a negative line within equity. That's how Home Depot's decades of buybacks pushed total equity below zero while the business prospered. To model it, add a "Treasury stock (negative)" corkscrew row to the equity block and leave retained earnings whole. Same economics, different geography on the statement. (3) Then there's dividend timing. Row 104 pays out of the same year's income (declared = paid). Real Indian companies pay a final dividend after year-end, and a payable would time-shift it. That's immaterial here, though it's material for a bank model.

Worked example: the Base case check

Checkpoint 4 (Base). FY26: dividends 31.2, closing RE 479.9 (= 407.0 + 104.2 − 31.2). Net income arrives through the interest links in the debt schedule, so if your F21 is still zero, revisit this checkpoint after phase 7. FY30 closing RE: 869.2. Shares stay at 25.0 crore in Base, which has no buybacks. In Bull they fall once FY28 arrives, at 75/600 = 0.125 crore shares retired per year.

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Part of the course

This page is part of Modeling I: The 3-Statement Model (M3.08), in Phase 3: Corporate finance and valuation. The module's flashcards and its quiz are in the app.