The Analyst's Path

T+1 settlement

The cycle under which an Indian equity trade settles on the day after it is executed, with shares delivered and money paid on that day. The settlement cycle is the gap between trade date and the date cash and securities actually change hands. The honest summary: T+1 reduces clearing-house credit exposure by about 29% and moves operational and funding risk onto cross-border investors and their FX providers.

3 min readPart of The Global-Dollar & Digital-Money FrontierOpen in course mode

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The settlement cycle is the gap between trade date and the date cash and securities actually change hands. Every day of that gap is a day of exposure, and the case for shortening it is arithmetic you should be able to produce on demand.

Why shorter means less margin. A clearing house's initial margin must cover the potential adverse move over the period it would take to close out a defaulter. Under the random-walk assumption, volatility scales with the square root of time: an h-day move is z · σ_daily · √h. Halve the horizon and margin falls by 1 − 1/√2 = 29.29%, a figure that depends on nothing but the square-root-of-time rule, not on volatility and not on position size, which is why it recurs in every settlement-cycle impact study. Worked Example 6 turns it into money: on a $500 million position, $5,299,034 of collateral released. Across a whole membership, that capital release is the headline benefit regulators cite.

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When did T+1 start in the US and India?

The regimes. The SEC amended Rule 15c6-1 from T+2 to T+1, compliance date 28 May 2024; the same rulemaking added Rule 15c6-2, requiring broker-dealers to complete allocations, confirmations and affirmations "as soon as technologically practicable and no later than the end of the day on trade date," and amended Rule 204-2 to require investment advisers to keep the corresponding records with date and time stamps (SEC, Shortening the Securities Transaction Settlement Cycle). India moved first: SEBI phased T+1 in from 25 February 2022 and it was fully live across listed scrips by 27 January 2023, making India the first large market to complete the move; SEBI then introduced an optional T+0 (same-day) cycle in beta from 28 March 2024, initially in a limited set of scrips through a limited set of brokers, with scope subsequently enhanced (SEBI circulars, March 2024 and December 2024).

What does T+1 cost cross-border investors?

Now the cost side, which the press releases underplay. Shortening the securities cycle does not shorten the currency cycle it depends on. FX spot conventionally settles T+2, and CLS has a hard submission deadline of 00:00 Central European Time on value date, with CET six hours ahead of US Eastern winter time, 18:00 ET on the previous calendar day. For a European fund buying US equities near the close, that turns a 26-hour FX window under T+2 into a 2-hour window under T+1 (Worked Example 6 does the clock arithmetic), a 92.3% compression for a trade that has not otherwise changed. The three responses are all costly: execute FX earlier and lose the ability to match the exact executed quantity; settle the FX bilaterally, outside PvP, reintroducing precisely the Herstatt exposure the settlement risk section was about; or pre-fund, at about 0.96 basis points of AUM per year for a fund turning over 80% of its book annually at a 4.30% funding rate.

The honest summary: T+1 reduces clearing-house credit exposure by about 29% and moves operational and funding risk onto cross-border investors and their FX providers. Both are real, and an analyst who can state both with the arithmetic is worth more than one who has memorised the compliance date.

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Part of the course

This page is part of The Global-Dollar & Digital-Money Frontier (MS1.04), in Phase 12: Finance Plus, AI and the quant-code track. The module's flashcards and its quiz are in the app.