The Analyst's Path

Unrecorded liabilities

Unrecorded liabilities are costs a company owes but has not put through its accounts, so profit looks higher than it should. The cost may simply be left out, or covered by releasing a reserve built in an earlier year. Analysts check that payables and provisions keep pace with activity, and they read the provisions note to see how much has been reversed.

3 min readPart of Shenanigans I: Earnings GamesOpen in course mode

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Cost parked hides expenses in the asset column. Cost hidden doesn't record them at all, or smothers them with a reserve.

How do companies leave costs unrecorded?

  1. The invoice in the drawer. Don't book the vendor invoice, the December freight bill, the contractor's certified work. Entries omitted: Dr Expense / Cr Accounts payable. The residue is payables and accrued-expense balances falling relative to activity, the mirror-image of DSO. Costs surge the following quarter, and supplier disputes appear. Toshiba's PC division ran an industrialized version through supplier "carryovers," masking costs via buy-sell component arrangements timed across period-ends. CG Power (2019) is the India instance. The board itself disclosed (August 2019) that liabilities had been understated by more than ₹1,000 crore, and that company assets had been used without authority as collateral for promoter-linked borrowings. SEBI barred the promoter, and the company was later rescued by the Murugappa group.
  2. Aggressive assumptions. Warranty accrual rates get cut from 2% of sales to 0.9% with claims experience unchanged. Pension expected-return assumptions get nudged up. ECL provision percentages are trimmed just when receivables age worst, and self-insurance reserves are set thin. Each is a one-line estimate buried in a note that converts straight into profit. The good news is that you can test every one of them: assumption vs actual experience, and assumption vs peers.
  3. Releasing reserves into income. Yesterday's provision (built in a bath, or banked in a good year) is judged "no longer required": Dr Provision / Cr Expense (or other income). Profit appears, and nothing happened. IAS 37/Ind AS 37 forces the confession, because the provisions note must show a roll-forward: opening, additions, amounts used, unused amounts reversed, closing. Read the "reversed" column. A company whose provisions are always reversing fed you fiction in some earlier year. You only need to work out which one.

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What happened in the Tesco accounting scandal?

On the record: Tesco (2014). Three weeks into a new CEO's tenure, and on a whistleblower's evidence, the UK grocer announced that it had overstated expected first-half profit by ~£250m (later refined to ~£263m). It had pulled forward "commercial income" (supplier rebates contingent on future volumes, booked early as reductions of cost of sales) and delayed accruals of costs. The Serious Fraud Office entered a deferred prosecution agreement (2017; £129m fine plus an investor-compensation scheme). Prosecutions of individual executives failed at trial. That's a reminder that the entity-level accounting failure can be established while individual criminal guilt is not.

What should you take from it? Rebate-heavy business models (grocery retail, distribution) carry a structural cost hidden temptation, because a negotiable, forecast-dependent credit sits right inside COGS. And margins improving while suppliers grumble in the trade press is a combination worth respecting.

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Part of the course

This page is part of Shenanigans I: Earnings Games (M2.06), in Phase 2: Financial statement analysis and quality of earnings. The module's flashcards and its quiz are in the app.